- Status: Project phase
A country’s cultural and structural conditions can influence the development of crime, and cybercrime is no exception. These include, for example, cyber hygiene, victimization, fear of cybercrime and the acceptance of new technologies. Constant technological change precipitates a dynamic development of crime, however stable factors also need to be identified.
Future Cybercrime I
(Pattern Recognition and Analysis)
Background
A country’s cultural and structural conditions can influence the development of crime, and cybercrime is no exception. These include, for example, cyber hygiene, victimization, fear of cybercrime and the acceptance of new technologies. Constant technological change precipitates a dynamic development of crime, however stable factors also need to be identified.
Aim
Should the identification of patterns based on these conditions and influencing factors succeed, predictions could be made about how certain forms of cybercrime, attack vectors or modi operandi will gain relevance or be transferred to other countries. Goal is the development of a trend radar that enables early detection of national and transnational developments in the field of cybercrime.
Disruptive Risk Research
Due to a lack of data and analyses on the role of a country’s cultural and structural conditions in influencing the spread of cybercrime, the research project is innovative, but also risky. The identification of patterns and their corresponding influencing factors would strengthen the internal and external security of Germany and Europe.
Future Cybercrime II
(Future Analysis)
Background
Constant technological progress brings convenience, but also ensures the continuous dynamic development of cybercrime, which, e.g., enables the manipulation of new technologies or their usage as tools of crime. Forward-looking studies could help identify options for action and therefore help initiate appropriate measures early on.
Aim
Aim of the future analysis, e.g., trend and scenario analysis, is to create a forecast of the cybercrime situation for the next 5 to 15 years. Cultural and structural conditions in Germany, as well as findings from the project pattern recognition and analysis, should be part of the consideration. The forecast is supposed to enable a better assessment and thereby appropriate counter possibilities of emerging manifestations of cybercrime.
Disruptive Risk Research
The cybercrime future analysis serves as the foundation of the thematic focus Cyber-resilient society. The goal is to initiate disruptive research to arm law enforcement in their fight against cybercrime and develop measures to support the cybersecurity as well as the resilience of society to strengthen the internal and external security of Germany.